Saturday, September 12, 2015

Supply Chain and its Strategies

Supply Chain is a vast and dynamic subject with many domain areas each intertwined with hierarchical relationships and is difficult to monitor, control and predict its inter and intra relationships and its influence on business objectives and goals. The Goal of Supply Chain Manager is to overcome these challenges and build a smooth and seamless operational business model.

I would like to use A.G. Lafley CEO of Procter & Gamble simple way of expressing the objective line for Supply Chain. Supply Chain’s objective should be able to provide a customer what they want, when they want at a competitive price while seamlessly managing the complex backend and frontend integration process encompasses the various domain areas of Buy, Make, Store, Deliver and Sell.

When you buy coffee or even on other end a tire or any clothing’s, the end product has already gone thru a series of steps right from procurement of raw materials à manufacturing process & schedulingàwarehouse inventory management & forecasting and risk management àtransport & route optimizationà retail shelf and finally into your hands. Feel free to add the Product Return process for additional complexity to the supply chain in reverse order.

This E2E process of managing the process of goods and services is reflected in Supply Chain Management involving some critical domain areas like Supply Chain Planning, Inventory & Order Management, Logistics and Risk & Mitigation steps for any disruptions.

Supply Chain Management objective goals in any given enterprise has been to plan, monitor and control efficiently the lowest order/purchase order cost; lowest landed cost; total cost of ownership and demand driven supply management.

Supply Chain Industry trends
My brief analysis on the 200+ number of Expo exhibit participants in this year’s 2015 Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals (CSCM) shows that 75% of them provide services in Supply Chain Solutions, Forecasts and Transportation & Distribution areas while 13% in Manufacturing, Planning & Sourcing and another 12% in Talent and Career. The reading and observation that I was trying to make is to indicate the significant and dominant focus areas the industry is seeking help in the Supply Chain.

Also most executives would be looking forward from these exhibitors besides cost savings is how they would be able to deliver value and improves their business outcomes in areas such as Supplier Relationship Management, Performance Management, Risk Management, Sourcing & Procurement and Planning and building Master Data Management with Supplier Segmentation.

In this blog, I would like to elucidate some solutions and strategies employed by practitioners and supply chain leaders based on my experience, readings and understanding of Supply Chain.

Supply Chain Integration (SCI) Strategies:
Here are some potential solution areas that many Supply Chain leaders and practitioners have been employing strategically with their clients. Japanese industrial practices lead the way in todays matured SCI strategies and they have professed that lot of wastage (“muda” in Japanese) is mainly caused due to fragmented supply chain configurations both within and among intra parties. The Value Based Management (VBM) framework further accentuated the need to improve the bottom line and thus SCI became an integral part of the corporate strategies.

SCI has seen many improvements and innovations over the years like TPS (Toyota Production System), JIT (Just In Time), EOQ (Economic Order Quantity), MRP (Manufacturing Resource Planning), Continuous Replenishment that led to VMI (Vendor Managed Inventory) and host others. However each company depending upon their business model adopt either semi integrated or fully integrated approaches with levels of integration from tight to being intensive within selected domain areas.

Relationship Management
Supplier Relationship Management has moved on from being a mere transactional based relationship to more collaborative arrangement to increase business value, reduce demand supply complexities and importantly shift from lowest price to TCO (Total Cost of Ownership). A relationship is always a continuously evolving one and many companies constantly update their own profile with the suppliers who also may be going changes either thru vertical or horizontal integration with mergers and acquisitions and assigning newer prioritizations and preferences.

Supplier Stratification & Integration Strategies
The global merchandise trade (imports/exports) since 1990 has jumped from a mere 2.3 trillion dollars in 1990 to 18.3 trillion dollars in 2014. Global sourcing is a key focus area today for many organizations big or small and thus making SCM to constantly reshape its relationship and realign its strategies.

The growth in trade led many companies in the Supply Chain to build a strong relationship among its suppliers, stratified and prioritized on a collaborative basis rather than merely on transactional basis. In this relationship the capabilities of the supplier is to be developed on a continuous basis to meet the proactive needs of its customers.

This has also lead many companies to focus on their core strengths and that also gave way to “Outsourcing” paradigm both in products from “Make” to “Buy” and Services to increase market share and create formidable global footprint while being competitive.

This major alignment led to the creation of Maturity Model of 3rd Party Service Providers (3PSP’s) and OEM’s based on their capabilities. However there were some major concerns that were expressed on this alignment mainly on disruption of supplies and its associated risks. To addresses this risk, companies are approaching in a phased manner rather than as a big bang approach.
  • Internal Cross Functional Integration
  • Backward Integration with first tier Suppliers
  • Forward Integration with valued first tier Customers
  • Complete forward and backward integration from suppliers to customers

 Building Logical Sharing Community for Logistics
SCM leaders have also built LSC (Logical Sharing Community) with 3/4/5PL (Third party Logistics Providers) to integrate and provide for logistical services. These collaborative arrangement range from sharing of network infrastructure services, production platforms, shared warehouse & distribution centers, shared transportation agreements, vendor managed inventory (VMI) to building consortiums to provide for better triangulation of the ecosystem and keep in abeyance the Organizational inertia and keep the industry’s clock-speed ticking.

Logistics is a critical discipline in the supply chain and covers various functions including procuring, warehousing and distribution of products effectively utilizing appropriate channels to its end customers.

3/4/5 PL parties are defined from the perspective of degree of responsibilities that they perform with their core competencies in managing, controlling and utilization of their own or contracted assets for a smooth flow of products across different functions of logistics.

Reverse logistics is also another growing area that relates to the functions required to address the Goods Returns, Repairs, Recycle or dispose of products in effective way.

There are defined goals in Logistics like Response time, Inventory expenses, Shipment consolidation with continuous improvement for which strategies are built and often times as coordinated planning efforts with suppliers & customers in the integrated supply chain systems.

One of the key strategies professed by implementers is to build near real-time information sharing system with improved collaboration to track the movement of products with RFID (Radio Frequency Identification) and GPS. This is to helps meet its objectives of lower cost, lower inventory, reducing stock outs, reducing pooling risks and providing consistent ordered deliveries to its customers.

Performance Management
Performance metrics which were focused on financial perspective has moved more towards understanding in totality as business model called SCM. Practitioners have created Metric Maturity models utilizing standardized frameworks like SCOR™ with its 550 metrics that are hierarchical, controllable and coherent in nature and that can be integrated with different SCM domains to meet the Corporate goals and objectives.

Utilizing BI (Business Intelligence) tools, enables the business users to build these holistic and integrated metrics as dashboards and scorecards with drill down capabilities to its sub metric levels and also get a view point across various constructs or dimensions to its lowest grain. Companies utilize these insights to identify bottlenecks and opportunities to put forward strategies for growth and competitiveness.

Supply Chain Risk Management
The 2011 Tsunami and the unfortunate nuclear leak event happened at Fukushima Daiichi, in Japan and the shutdown of several manufacturing plants within its 20km area as non-inhabitant area, had destructive consequences on the supply chain for thousands of global companies. For months the global shortages for many industries for components produced in these affected regions led to severe shortages of end products to B2B and B2C customers leading to loss of billions of dollars on sales and lost opportunities.

Many of the Supply chain Managers re-emphasized on three aspects of disruptions management.
·        Controlling, Managing disruptions and prevent the reoccurrences
·         Monitoring disruptions and predicting before they occur
·         Action plan for any major and minor disruptions  

Some of the mitigation steps that were advanced by implementers was to relocate from high risk zones to safer ones, analyzing the disruptions and modeling them for reducing the disruptions impact, creating extra capacity in the system and flexibility in the supply chain with interchangeability of the products.

A new set of data metrics were created called KRI (Key Risk Indicators) to identify and monitor trends and predictions for any disruptions and take necessary mitigation steps. There is lot of research that is currently being undertaken by many academicians and industry to identify and understand the relationships on major events and model them, so they would be able to predict the events even before they occur, so the impacts of potential disruptions are mitigated.

Forecasting
Forecasting in Supply Chain is an important tool that is used by Supply Chain integrators to predict and manage the vagaries of uncertainties that are often systemic in nature in different domain areas such as sourcing risk, production costs and customer demand. 

These forecasting tools with specialized software enables the customers to build Qualitative, Time Series, Causation and Simulated scenarios to help and evaluate different options. Indicators help in the study of forecasts and its influence on planning aspects in supply chain by establishing and building performance and error measures.

The quality and accuracy of these forecasts has greater dependencies on its depth and width of historical data used in many of its Time Series, Causation and Simulated scenarios. Inaccurate forecasting is a crushed success, because when production level and supply levels are not in line with customer demands in a given time window, companies get crushed with higher inventory carrying costs and obsolescence or lost opportunities.

Analytics
Supply Chain Managers have to wrestle with many global economic challenges of instabilities, uncertainties besides unpredictable customer demand volatility. The shorter product life cycles, supply chain disruptions, and limited visibilities to real time metrics add to their woes in today’s Operational environment. It becomes very imperative that Business Analytics with performance metrics utilizing their ERP systems with different modules like Inventory, Order Management, Warehouse, Finance, Procurement, Manufacturing, Logistics, Supply Chain Planning, Marketing and Sales needs to be deployed in near real time to provide the required information for planning, forecasting and execution.

It is also observed from various research and surveys that companies which have built Analytics are 3 times more likely to outperform the companies who have just adopted analytics and 5 times more with companies who rely on intuitions and business processes alone.

Integrators emphasize that Analytics needs to be employed across different domain groups not necessarily all at one go, but with a clear roadmap to deliver real business results and value rather than as mere technology platform or set of tools.  Some integrators may just focus primarily on S&OP (Sales & Operation Planning) an integrated business management process area and mature it before moving into other areas but again it depends upon individual company’s maturity levels in the analytics space.

A road map for Business Analytics should built to identify and mature along the line from being just a Descriptive Analytics (Insights to show how are we doing) to Diagnostic Analytics (Why are we doing, what we are doing), Predictive Analytics (What is likely to happen) and finally Prescriptive Analytics (What should we be doing) as a step ladder across time lines and value proposition axis.

Conclusion:
Today’s data driven Supply Chain companies with their nimble Integrated Suppliers are more likely to  overshoot the older giants if they are slow in adopting and adapting these newer frontiers in an orchestrated manner.

No comments: